Регистар ризика заједнице Кент 

Major adult social care provider failure

This risk relates to the failure of a major provider of adult social care and whose services are difficult to replace.

Local authorities (LAs) would roll out their contingency plans but - due to the scale and speed of the failure or the complexity of the services – might face challenges in discharging their temporary duty to secure continuity of care and may put the welfare of people with care and support needs at risk.

 

Rail accident

This risk looks at the potential for a collision or incident occurring on the railway network. There are a number of variables that could cause accidents to occur with past incidents coming about from a variety of sources. Such incidents can result in casualties, which will generally be confined to passengers and crew.

 

Large passenger vessel accident

This risk assessment considers the sinking of a passenger vessel in, or close to UK waters (including inland waterways), leading to the ships full or partial evacuation or abandonment at sea.

 

Major maritime pollution

This risk assessment considers incidents occurring from ships at sea, at anchor, or alongside discharging any form of heavy oil, fuel or petroleum that will potentially have a significant impact on the aquatic ecosystem, marine life, coastline, agricultural produce, commerce, tourism, and potentially displacement of local communities (due to risk of explosion or fire from fumes). The effects of such a discharge could be long term.

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Incident (grounding/sinking) of a vessel blocking a major port.

Kent has significant ports with the seaports of Dover, Ramsgate, Thamesport, Sheerness, Dartford, and the unique Channel Tunnel. These ports handle exclusively, or combinations, of freight and passengers.

 

Accident involving high consequence dangerous goods.

A single road tanker containing high consequence dangerous goods is involved in an accident causing a fire and explosion in an urban area, resulting in fatalities and casualties. In an urban area, an incident would likely lead to road closures of several days, significant local infrastructure damage (road, buildings, and bridges), and therefore, alternative routing and evacuation of surrounding areas.

 

Aviation collision

The risk considers a worst-case scenario of the collision of two commercial planes in Kent airspace. Such an incident is likely to lead to fatalities of crew and passengers, with complex casualties on the ground. Such incidents are most likely to occur during take-off and landing, with damage likely to occur within the airport or airfield complex.

 

Civil Nuclear Accident

An accident occurs at a UK civil nuclear site resulting in a large release of radiological material.

Dungeoness is the only site in Kent which is the subject of comprehensive and regular monitoring arrangements, however the risk from release of any radiological material is assessed as low outside of the perimeter of the facility.

 

Radiation release from overseas nuclear site

An accident occurs at an overseas nuclear site, resulting in a release of radiological material which directly impacts the UK and its interests overseas.

 

Impact to Chemical, fuel, gas, or electricity infrastructure

This threat includes a fire or explosion at a site near to a populated area where either fuel, flammable liquids, or toxic liquids are stored in bulk. Toxic chemicals are stored in bulk form throughout the county, and the larger facilities are covered by COMAH (Control of Major Accident Hazards) Regulations and therefore have bespoke plans in place.

 

Reservoir/dam collapse

The planning for this risk is based upon a reasonable worst-case scenario of a no-notice failure of a reservoir or dam. Due to the nature of the event there would be no time to evacuate, and emergency services would have no pre-warning. Flooding would last less than 24 hours, however water would be flowing and cause significant risk to life and damage to infrastructure. Substantial controls are in place to ensure that the likelihood of this risk occurring is very low.

 

Water infrastructure failure or loss of drinking water

This assessment relates to a complete loss of water supplies. This would mean domestic, industrial, and agricultural premises would have no piped water and fire tenders would not be able to use fire hydrants within the affected area.

 

Water companies have an obligation to provide domestic customers with at least ten litres of drinking water per person per day until supply is restored. This is done by a variety of means such as water bowsers or bottled water.

 

Priority is given to vulnerable customers and those with special needs. Water companies are also required to give priority to hospitals and schools and have due regard for livestock and essential food industries.

 

Major fire

A major fire resulting in a significant loss of life or injury - for example, in a high-rise residential building, a care home, assisted living complex or a hospital.

 

Wildfire

Kent has a number of areas of forest and moorland which could result in large fires, particularly during hot and dry conditions.

 

Volcanic eruption

An ash-rich volcanic eruption into UK airspace results in variable disruption to flights in parts of UK airspace or international airspace. The duration of severe disruption is heavily influenced by eruption characteristics, meteorological conditions, concentration of ash and level of aviation activity.

 

Drought

The planning for this risk is based on an unprecedented scenario of 3 consecutive dry winters. In general terms water supplies fall during the summer and are replenished over the winter. If there is insufficient rainfall during the winter, then there may be shortages during the following summer. UK water stocks are sufficient to manage one dry winter with minimal intervention.

 

Poor air quality

Light winds under a high-pressure system leads to the pollution being trapped in place for days at a time before stronger winds or a weather front clears it. For Kent, poor air quality is most likely when we have easterly winds (bringing pollution off the continent), a north-westerly wind (bringing pollution off London), southerly winds (very occasionally bringing Sahara Dust from Africa). 

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Major outbreak of foot and mouth disease

Foot and mouth disease (FMD) is a severe, highly infectious viral disease with significant economic impact, affecting several types of animals including cattle, pigs, sheep, deer, and goats.

 

Major outbreak of highly pathogenic avian influenza

Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) is a severe, highly infectious influenza causing significant morbidity and mortality in susceptible avian species. Avian influenza is primarily a disease of birds but can be transmissible to mammals and humans.

 

Public disorder

This relates to an event that would see criminal damage to public or private property, increase increased crime or arson, rioting, looting and reduced community cohesion.

 

Industrial action – fuel supply

This risk is based on a scenario that filling stations, depending on their locations, start to 'run dry' within a period of 24-48 hours. Panic buying would exacerbate the situation, and replenishment of sites could take between 3-10 days (depending on location).

 

Incident in Road Tunnel

There are five significant road tunnels within the Kent Strategic Road Network which are covered by European Tunnel Regulations. Incidents in these tunnels have the potential to cause fatalities and casualties, as well as significant disruption to the strategic road network.

 

Local accident on motorways and major trunk roads

A sudden impact incident on the road network could see road closures for 12-72 hours plus due to subsequence investigations and clean-up.

Kent is the gateway to Europe with the main routes to cross channel ports for both tourist and freight traffic.

 

Major pollution of inland freshwater and ground water

The pollution of controlled waters, including surface and groundwater, is a significant threat to the numerous and extensive river systems and underground aquifers in Kent. The supply and demand of water is a crucial resource to the day-to-day activities of the county. All drinking water in Kent is supplied from either a river or groundwater source and it is therefore important to safeguard these.

 

Land based marine coastal and estuary pollution

This risk relates to pollution by sewage, oil or agricultural run-off, fly-tipping, or algae.

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A system failure creating an unconsented discharge of raw sewage being discharged.

​Significant oil spills that travel downstream from large domestic/commercial on land oil tanks impacting the coastline.

Agriculture run off of chemicals from farmland into the river system (Medway and Swale Estuary).

 Flying tipping or waste management sites that are situated near rivers could see localised pollution dependant on the items disposed of leaking harmful chemicals into nearby rivers.

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Building collapse

This risk includes the collapse of buildings (domestic and commercial) and may be realised for a variety of reasons. People may be trapped by the building collapse, as well as damage to local road networks and utilities.

 

Bridge closure or collapse

Kent has many bridges used for road, rail, and pedestrian access. Of note are the QEII Bridge linking Kent and Essex and the Sheppey Crossing and the bridge crossing the river Medway at Strood, which carries motorway traffic and the CTRL high speed rail link.

 

The collapse of any bridge is likely to impact heavily on the infrastructure of Kent and will lead to transport problems and restrictions.

 

Large toxic chemical release

A large toxic chemical release caused by the accidental release of chlorine or another chemical (e.g. refrigerated ammonia, sulphur di-oxide, hydrofluoric acid). This incident arises from possible mechanical equipment/process failure or corrosion and does not necessarily involve a fire or explosion.​

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